Demo / Beta · Trading, deposits and withdrawals are disabled.
Loading Polymarket history…
Loading trading controls…
Gemini Argon released by...? | Veycast
AI
Gemini Argon released by...?
Loading Polymarket history…
$23,072 Vol.Dec 1, 2026
91%
82%
47%
42%
20%
View resolved (1)
October 9Resolved0%
Market analytics
Explore market flow, positions, liquidity, and settlement.
Yes price
91.35¢
Market snapshot
24h market volume
$482.76
Market liquidity
$2,571.39
Open interest
—
Loading…
Outcome comparison
Yes
91.35¢
Market snapshot
No
8.65¢
Market snapshot
Recent activity · Yes
Loading market data…
Source: Polymarket · Market metadata snapshot.
On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases "Gemini Argon" or a model qualifying under the terms below, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any model whose official name includes "Argon," or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30 · Yes
Snapshot prices · connecting to Polymarket…
Maker feeLoading…
Taker feeLoading…
At the selected price; final fee depends on execution.
Price protection
Trading cashNot connected
Fills in full within your price limit, or cancels.