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Military Strikes·US to invade Iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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$73,160,153 Vol.Jan 1, 2027
17%
Market analytics
Explore market flow, positions, liquidity, and settlement.
Yes price
16.5¢
Market snapshot
24h market volume
$195.41K
Market liquidity
$794.21K
Open interest
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Outcome comparison
Yes
16.5¢
Market snapshot
No
83.5¢
Market snapshot
Recent activity · Yes
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Source: Polymarket · Market metadata snapshot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes
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Fills in full within your price limit, or cancels.
Timeline
Market CreatedNov 4, 2025
Market EndsJan 1, 2027
Market ResolutionPending
